Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 7.698772 8.481409 9.317308 10.277889 11.352944 12.520926 13.888469
2025-10-26 6.243905 7.267486 8.431083 9.856961 11.564157 13.551161 16.051491
2025-11-02 5.209587 6.356207 7.731775 9.515046 11.782258 14.590492 18.366268
2025-11-09 4.436731 5.642036 7.158499 9.226176 12.002275 15.643652 20.852818
2025-11-16 3.861538 5.095230 6.715118 9.027354 12.291300 16.807194 23.657256
2025-11-23 3.427619 4.675896 6.379688 8.916091 12.666828 18.122829 26.873941
2025-11-30 3.149589 4.433051 6.250067 9.065561 13.419590 20.069877 31.340877
2025-12-07 2.849483 4.122237 5.983117 8.971258 13.782025 21.463108 35.158697
2025-12-14 2.564692 3.801897 5.663628 8.750699 13.905816 22.478503 38.501275
2025-12-21 2.359359 3.579704 5.467279 8.695524 14.281229 23.947869 42.879307
2025-12-28 2.236224 3.472153 5.437058 8.903753 15.121960 26.331577 49.372899
2026-01-04 2.122495 3.367468 5.398396 9.088497 15.938421 28.781118 56.451018
2026-01-11 1.985853 3.215312 5.270316 9.110043 16.475930 30.820081 63.180012
2026-01-18 1.844271 3.042088 5.089432 9.015016 16.779683 32.448878 69.376092
2026-01-25 1.712594 2.874394 4.902215 8.886368 16.999418 33.939917 75.586485
2026-02-01 1.591786 2.715519 4.715937 8.738014 17.158291 35.325528 81.855454
2026-02-08 1.488592 2.579664 4.559291 8.629850 17.385589 36.895957 88.944643
2026-02-15 1.402313 2.467655 4.436954 8.576607 17.722868 38.769539 97.268577
2026-02-22 1.351624 2.417684 4.428038 8.755620 18.598980 42.059602 110.289322
2026-03-01 1.277060 2.316284 4.309648 8.688914 18.902464 43.999520 119.947084
2026-03-08 1.194928 2.194068 4.139606 8.491861 18.872190 45.088838 127.338626
2026-03-15 1.135577 2.112101 4.043935 8.448952 19.207864 47.189624 138.459738
2026-03-22 1.105036 2.085153 4.058880 8.657627 20.197039 51.232747 157.117484